Defence & Security Report South Africa

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for South Africa. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the South African Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, South African defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in South Africa. The South Africa Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for South Africa through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in South Africa. South African Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the South African defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on South Africa to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the South African defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the South African Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in South Africa Exploit The Latest Competitive South African Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary South Africa faces internal and external security threats. Internally, it has a well-established organised crime and drug trafficking network, a vast wealth disparity and large scale HIV infection within its population, not to mention ongoing racial tensions fuelling security threats such as the right-wing Afrikaner group, Die Boeremag. Its security concerns also extend beyond its borders. As the hegemonic power in the continent and particularly in the Southern Great Lakes region, it has a heavy involvement in the continent’s troubled spots in terms of security forces/peacekeeping deployments. While the numerous security threats in the region have the potential to destabilise South Africa on a variety of levels, the potential for its neighbours – particularly Zimbabwe – to destabilise it economically and politically is especially strong. The defence industry witnessed major upheaval when the lifting of the arms embargoes on South Africa led to competition with foreign companies. With the South African National Defence Force (SANDF) no longer a captive customer of the sector, companies have had to shed large sections of their workforce, leading to dwindling numbers. Recent procurement packages may be the first step in reversing this trend. The future of the South African defence industry depends on its successful break into the international market. Joint ventures will aid the country in gaining a technological lead in key areas. Currently, the biggest single long-term problem within the defence industry is the lack of research and development funding and policy. Several defence industrial participation (DIP) contracts have been signed with South African firms, which will assist in areas of defence electronics. Arms exports are proving a more vital area of sales for South African defence companies, and should be the main catalyst for any growth in the industry. Encouraging figures from key defence companies seem to suggest a growing export market. Meanwhile, arms imports should increase substantially with the delivery of the major weapons platforms recently ordered by the government. Imports are forecast at US$145mn in constant prices by 2006, a significant increase on the US$41mn imported in 1997. The recent normalisation of relations between the US and South Africa offers hope for better trade. It concludes that the state’s political, economic and security structures remain relatively strong. The country is plagued with very high crime rates and high HIV/AIDS infection rates but neither of these poses a risk its overall stability. Recent restructuring and moves to modernise the South African armed forces have created the best-equipped and most advanced military on the African Continent. The defence industry is growing and making indents into international markets.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis South Africa Political SWOT South Africa Security SWOT South Africa Defence Industry SWOT South Africa Economic SWOT South Africa Business Environment SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview Domestic Political Outlook The (Limited) Risks Of A Zuma Presidency Whither Zuma? Risks To Business Environment Ramaphose Enters The Fray The Jobs And Skills Conundrum Crime Revisited Keeping Up With The Bad Guys HIV/AIDS Infection Rate Stabilises…For Now Policy Implications Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: Regional Security Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East And North Africa Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts South Africa Security Risk Ratings South Africa Conflict Risk South Africa Terrorism Risk South Africa Physical Safety Risk Chapter 4 - Security Overview Internal Security Situation Table: South Africa Insurgent Groups Organised Crime HIV/AIDS Township Unrest External Security Situation African Union Border Security Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Current Strength Historical Strength New Role For The SANDF Acquisitions HIV/AIDS ‘Army Vision 2020’ International Deployments Table: South Africa Foreign Deployments Weapons Of Mass Destruction Market Structure Arms Trade Overview Imports Exports Industry Trends & Developments Table: Key Players – South Africa Defence Sector Procurement Trends & Developments Air Force Navy Army Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario Armed Forces Table: South Africa Defence Sector – Armed Forces Table: South Africa Defence Sector – Government Expenditure Key Risks To It’s Forecast Scenario Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast Table: Economic Indicators Chapter 8 - Company Profiles Denel ADS (African Defence Systems) Grintek Defence & Technologies Reutech BAE Systems, Land Systems South Africa Chapter 9 - It Forecast Modelling How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts Defence Industry Sources Chapter 10 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology Conflict Risk Methodology Terrorism Risk Methodology Physical Safety Risk Methodology Overall Risk Rating State Vulnerability Index   For more information, kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16492

 

Defence & Security Report Iran

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Iran.
Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Iranian Defence and Security  industry.
Competitive intelligence, Iranian defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Iran.

The Iran Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Iran through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Iran.

Iranian Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Iranian defence & security industry.

Key Benefits of Report

• Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Iran to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Iranian defence and security market.
• Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Iranian Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Iran
• Exploit The Latest Competitive Iranian Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services.

Coverage

SWOT Analysis

Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’.

Political Risk Assessment

Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and
foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector.

Security Risk Analysis

It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign.

Defence Industry Assessment

Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments.

It 5-Year Forecasts

Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports)

It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.

Company Profiles

Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.

Executive Summary

Iran is isolated in the face of international criticism, but remains as confrontational as ever towards Western demands that it terminates its nuclear research programme. Western contempt for the country increased during the conflict between Israel and Lebanon, as Iranian-supplied rockets showered northern Israel. However, Iran is in a relatively secure position in terms of its internal and external security. Our newly released Iran Defence and Security Report concludes Tehran has a tight lid on the domestic unrest and is unlikely to face military action from either the US or Israel (the only two potential aggressors) whilst they are preoccupied in Iraq and Gaza respectively.

Whilst few argue about the importance of the international community’s efforts to prevent Iran from developing nuclear technology, its focus may in fact be somewhat misplaced. A large percentage of Iranians, both in Iran and Iranian Diasporas, support President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s stance against international interference. This support may not be so much a desire to acquire nuclear weapons rather Iranians see that is it their national right to be able to develop nuclear technology – the more the West make demands of Iran, the more Iranians stand behind Ahmadinejad. Rather the West could be better placed to focus on the following: Ahmadinejad was elected on a platform promising improvements to Iranians social and economic, most of which he has failed to deliver.

Instead he is pursuing an economic programme that is arguably doomed to failure. To this end the West has time on its side, it can sit back and wait for Iranian discontent to remove Ahmadinejad. However, Iran is flexing its muscles across the region, causing significant difficulties to the US in Iraq, and recently to Israel in Lebanon. In February 2007, US officials claimed to have proof that Iran was providing sophisticated weapons to militants in Iraq for use against US and coalition forces. Iran has already demonstrated its potential to be a major influence in the region.

In terms of its defence industry, Iran has the capability to supply its own armed forces, and any other armed group, with significant military hardware. Whilst state investment in the Iranian defence industry remains almost unheard of given a range of international sanctions, non-state actors do not face the same restrictions. This became apparent in the types of weapons being used by Hezbollah during the recent conflict with Israel.

Whilst Iran seems to be most at risk from confrontational Western foreign policies, it may in fact be internal Iranian politics that unravels President Ahmadinejad’s current course. From day one the President has faced opposition from the higher echelons of power, who have been feared that his populist domestic policies and defiant foreign policies would cause splits and disunity in the existing centres of power. The Supreme Leader’s decision to create the Strategic Committee for Foreign Policy, a foreign policy advisory body that reports directly to the Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, exemplifies this.

For more information, kindly visit:
http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16493

 

Defence & Security Report Kuwait

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Kuwait. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Kuwaiti Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, Kuwaiti defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Kuwait. The Kuwait Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Kuwait through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Kuwait. Kuwaiti Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Kuwaiti defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Kuwait to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Kuwaiti defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Kuwaiti Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Kuwait Exploit The Latest Competitive Kuwaiti Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects Executive Summary The Sector At A Glance Key Insights On The Defence & Security Sector Of Kuwait As with a number of Gulf States, Kuwait has been feeling a degree of pressure by both domestic and international forces to undertake political reforms with the aim of increasing democracy in the state. Whilst maintaining its position in the region, Kuwait is looking to increase the country’s influence in a number of less prosperous Asian states. Kuwait has a small number of indirect security threats, but benefits from the external security endowed upon it by the US. In the past, its geo-strategic location made it precarious to threats, from an Iraqi invasion in 1991 and the possibility of an Iraqi missile strike on Kuwait prior to the US-led coalition invasion of Iraq in 2003. Kuwait faces a limited internal threat from al-Qaeda-linked militants operating on Kuwaiti soil. As with many of the region’s ruling regimes, there is a degree of protest from within disaffected sections of the population. The emirate will remain concerned with the ongoing instabilities in post-war Iraq and the possibility of Kuwaiti jihadis returning from Iraq. Kuwait lacks an established indigenous defence industry of significance, and its armed forces are almost entirely reliant upon procurements from foreign sources for equipment and training. The Kuwaiti economy is currently able to support a high level of military expenditure as high oil prices raised the oil revenue for the fiscal year 2004/2005 to its highest since 1979, culminating with a record excess budget surplus. The continuation of the upgrading of Kuwaiti military hardware and equipment is unlikely to decrease in the near future given the ongoing US involvement in the region and the current strength of the Kuwaiti economy. On this basis, high military expenditure is therefore likely to continue into the foreseeable future. US foreign military assistance will continue to dominate Kuwait’s imports trade with the vast majority of its arms procurements being supplied by US based companies. Kuwait does, however, increasingly obtain arms from a wider source of suppliers, including European and Asian states. The emirate does not have an extensive arms exports industry. Reformist opposition in Kuwait is not strong enough or well-organised enough to force the government’s hand. Reforms are likely to take place but this will be at the government’s pace, and will arguably be seen as ‘concessions’ rather than ‘reforms’. Kuwait has the potential to extend its influence beyond the immediate region given its oil wealth. This could prove valuable to a country whose defence industry, and therefore armed forces, are entirely dependent on foreign involvement for their well-being.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis Kuwait Political SWOT Kuwait Security SWOT Kuwait Defence Industry SWOT Kuwait Business Environment SWOT Kuwait Economic SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview Domestic Political Outlook Increasing Democratic Freedom: A Threat To Stability? Its All Coming Out Now Implications Of Increased Democratic Freedom External Political Outlook Growing Risks From The Neighbours Opportunities Amid Risks Making Friends In Asia Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: Regional Risk Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East And North Africa Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts Kuwait Security Risk Ratings Kuwait Conflict Risk Kuwait Terrorism Risk Kuwait Physical Safety Risk Chapter 4 - Security Overview External Security Situation Internal Security Situation Democratic Reform US Presence On Kuwaiti Soil Iraq Islamic Militancy Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 International Deployments Weapons of Mass Destruction Market Structure Arms Trade Overview Industry Trends & Developments Procurement Trends & Developments Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario Table: Kuwait Defence Sector – Historical Data & Forecasts Key Risks To It’s Forecast Scenario Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast Buoyant Growth Consumption To Remain Strong Risks To Outlook Table: Economic Activity Chapter 8 - It Forecast Modelling How we generate our industry forecasts Defence Industry Sources Chapter 9 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology Conflict Risk Methodology Terrorism Risk Methodology Physical Safety Risk Methodology Overall Risk Rating State Vulnerability Index   For more information, kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16494

 

Defence & Security Report Iraq

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Iraq. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Iraqi Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, Iraqi defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Iraq. The Iraq Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Iraq through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Iraq. Iraqi Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Iraqi defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Iraq to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Iraqi defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Iraqi Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Iraq Exploit The Latest Competitive Iraqi Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary Politically, one could argue that Iraq is making progress – since early 2006 it has had a functioning elected government, which has taken over political responsible for the day-to-day running of the country. However, at a security level, Iraq has little to be excited about. The sectarian violence is anything but decreasing, and attacks on coalition and Iraqi security forces continue on a daily basis. The Baghdad security plan, which included the deployment of an additional 20,000 US troops, saw a diminishing of sectarian violence during the early stages, but levels have now risen once again. Iraqi and coalition security forces have not been idle in confronting this issue. However, the scale and the complexity of the groups have proved all but overwhelming. On the upside, the majority of the violence is confined to four out of Iraq’s 18 provinces – Baghdad, al Anbar, Salahaddin, and Ninawa – and at present, the security responsibility of seven provinces in the country has been transferred back to Iraqi forces. Iraqi security forces, for all their training and limited procurement, will not be in a position to operate effectively without the support of coalition forces for some time to come yet. Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki faces significant challenges if he is to reverse this trend. The unity of the United Iraqi Alliance coalition is under threat from increasing rivalry between Shi’a groups; the government-run security forces operate in direct competition to powerful militia groups. Often the two groups may consist of the same people; there are extensive disputes over Iraq’s constitution amongst the Shi’a, Sunni and Kurdish population, especially concerning oil-revenue sharing arrangements. Whilst it has been purported that great political progress has been made in Iraq, the security situation professes that Iraqi and coalition forces have only scratched the surface since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, and in scratching that surface they have proved to irritate rather than soothe the wound. Nobody expects to see an end to the violence any time soon. Similarly, not many people expect Iraqi security forces to take full responsibility for the whole country at any time soon, nor for the coalition forces to withdraw from the country on any large scale. Finally, with almost all military equipment entering the country through donations or at least at ‘gifted’ prices, any talk of establishing a functioning defence industry in Iraq will remain premature for the foreseeable future.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis Iraq Political SWOT Iraq Security SWOT Iraq Defence Industry SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview Domestic Political Outlook New National Unity Government Militias Consolidate Their Power, Creating Further Risks Row Over Oil Rights Kirkuk Will Be A Key Flashpoint Zarqawi’s Death: No Lasting Blow To Insurgency A Fragmented Insurgency: The Complex Reality Motivations for Insurgents Persist Zarqawi’s Role Has Long Been Overstated The Economic Impact of Violence Foreign Policy Lebanon Crisis: An In-Depth Look At The Impact On Iraq Very Different Priorities Sistani’s Ceasefire Call At Odds With US An Issue That Unites Sunni And Shi’a? Iran Tensions Another Source Of Strain Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: Regional Risk Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East and North Africa 19 Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts Iraq Conflict Risk Iraq Terrorism Risk Iraq Physical Safety Risk Chapter 4 - Security Overview Internal Threats Table: Iraq Insurgent Groups Over 100 Deaths A Day: Violence Worsens More Kidnappings, But Fewer Foreigners Abducted Violence Worst In Baghdad Disillusionment Several Insurgencies Foreign Military Presence: No Clear End In Sight The Killings Continue Deterioration In Basra External Threats Kurdish Questions Turkey Unlikely To Cross Border, But Iran May Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 Current Strength Historical Strength Weapons of Mass Destruction Market Overview Arms Trade Overview Procurement Trends & Developments Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario Table: Iraq Defence Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts Key Risks To It’s Forecast Scenario Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast Table: Iraq - Economic Activity Chapter 8 - Company Profiles Dabin Group Chapter 9 - It Forecast Modelling How we generate our industry forecasts Defence Industry Sources Chapter 10 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology Conflict Risk Methodology Terrorism Risk Methodology Physical Safety Risk Methodology Overall Risk Rating State Vulnerability Index   For more information, kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16496

 

Defence & Security Report Iraq

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Iraq. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Iraqi Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, Iraqi defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Iraq. The Iraq Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Iraq through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Iraq. Iraqi Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Iraqi defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Iraq to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Iraqi defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Iraqi Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Iraq Exploit The Latest Competitive Iraqi Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary Politically, one could argue that Iraq is making progress – since early 2006 it has had a functioning elected government, which has taken over political responsible for the day-to-day running of the country. However, at a security level, Iraq has little to be excited about. The sectarian violence is anything but decreasing, and attacks on coalition and Iraqi security forces continue on a daily basis. The Baghdad security plan, which included the deployment of an additional 20,000 US troops, saw a diminishing of sectarian violence during the early stages, but levels have now risen once again. Iraqi and coalition security forces have not been idle in confronting this issue. However, the scale and the complexity of the groups have proved all but overwhelming. On the upside, the majority of the violence is confined to four out of Iraq’s 18 provinces – Baghdad, al Anbar, Salahaddin, and Ninawa – and at present, the security responsibility of seven provinces in the country has been transferred back to Iraqi forces. Iraqi security forces, for all their training and limited procurement, will not be in a position to operate effectively without the support of coalition forces for some time to come yet. Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki faces significant challenges if he is to reverse this trend. The unity of the United Iraqi Alliance coalition is under threat from increasing rivalry between Shi’a groups; the government-run security forces operate in direct competition to powerful militia groups. Often the two groups may consist of the same people; there are extensive disputes over Iraq’s constitution amongst the Shi’a, Sunni and Kurdish population, especially concerning oil-revenue sharing arrangements. Whilst it has been purported that great political progress has been made in Iraq, the security situation professes that Iraqi and coalition forces have only scratched the surface since the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, and in scratching that surface they have proved to irritate rather than soothe the wound. Nobody expects to see an end to the violence any time soon. Similarly, not many people expect Iraqi security forces to take full responsibility for the whole country at any time soon, nor for the coalition forces to withdraw from the country on any large scale. Finally, with almost all military equipment entering the country through donations or at least at ‘gifted’ prices, any talk of establishing a functioning defence industry in Iraq will remain premature for the foreseeable future.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis Iraq Political SWOT Iraq Security SWOT Iraq Defence Industry SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview Domestic Political Outlook New National Unity Government Militias Consolidate Their Power, Creating Further Risks Row Over Oil Rights Kirkuk Will Be A Key Flashpoint Zarqawi’s Death: No Lasting Blow To Insurgency A Fragmented Insurgency: The Complex Reality Motivations for Insurgents Persist Zarqawi’s Role Has Long Been Overstated The Economic Impact of Violence Foreign Policy Lebanon Crisis: An In-Depth Look At The Impact On Iraq Very Different Priorities Sistani’s Ceasefire Call At Odds With US An Issue That Unites Sunni And Shi’a? Iran Tensions Another Source Of Strain Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: Regional Risk Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East and North Africa 19 Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts Iraq Conflict Risk Iraq Terrorism Risk Iraq Physical Safety Risk Chapter 4 - Security Overview Internal Threats Table: Iraq Insurgent Groups Over 100 Deaths A Day: Violence Worsens More Kidnappings, But Fewer Foreigners Abducted Violence Worst In Baghdad Disillusionment Several Insurgencies Foreign Military Presence: No Clear End In Sight The Killings Continue Deterioration In Basra External Threats Kurdish Questions Turkey Unlikely To Cross Border, But Iran May Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 Current Strength Historical Strength Weapons of Mass Destruction Market Overview Arms Trade Overview Procurement Trends & Developments Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario Table: Iraq Defence Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts Key Risks To It’s Forecast Scenario Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast Table: Iraq - Economic Activity Chapter 8 - Company Profiles Dabin Group Chapter 9 - It Forecast Modelling How we generate our industry forecasts Defence Industry Sources Chapter 10 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology Conflict Risk Methodology Terrorism Risk Methodology Physical Safety Risk Methodology Overall Risk Rating State Vulnerability Index   For more information, kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16496

 

Defence & Security Report Libya

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Libya. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Libyan Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, Libyan defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Libya. The Libya Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Libya through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Libya. Libyan Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Libyan defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Libya to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Libyan defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Libyan Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Libya Exploit The Latest Competitive Libyan Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary The normalisation of relations with the US opens the door to many opportunities for Libya. Whilst the republic has been edging towards normal relations with the international community for a few years, the US was Tripoli’s ultimate goal. The announcement has paved the way for US investment in Libya’s oil sector and if Tripoli plays its card right, the sale of arms to the North African state. The move may prove to be beneficial for both parties, with Washington deepening its involvement in another country’s oil sector and befriending another ally, this time on the African continent, in the fight against terrorism. Relations with Europe are also strengthening. However, as many states have experienced, closer relations with the US can have adverse affects amongst the population. The conservative old guard is already stirring over Qadhafi’s economic reforms. Whilst It does not anticipate a revolt, there will be issues regarding Qadhafi’s succession to think of in the not too distant future – Qadhafi may be able to contain a conservative backlash but his more reformist son, Seif, may struggle to do so. The potential for US military assistance will be of great interest to Qadhafi. At present the Libyan defence industry is practically non-existent, and what does survive is almost entirely state-owned. Multinational involvement has only recently been legalised, with the lifting of the UN arms embargo in September 2003 and of the EU arms embargo on September 22 2004, and foreign companies are beginning to penetrate the market. It has been reported that authorities in Tripoli have been in low-level talks with several European defence companies, eager to establish themselves in what should become a significant market now that the EU arms sales restrictions have been lifted. The resumption of full political and commercial relations with the US on May 15 2006 should also ease the pressure on Libya’s economy by removing some of the restrictions on investment in the sector. As larger foreign companies move in to Libya, its domestic defence sector is likely to experience a large expansion. Libya’s extensive military equipment is in desperate need of modernisation. Precise details of the modernisation path to be taken are not yet known. Providing Qadhafi continues along his current path then the prospects for Libya’s defence industry look good. Defence expenditure is forecast to remain at about US$670mn in 2007, rising to some US$730mn by 2010, as the defence industry opens for foreign investors and new technology and hardware become available to Libya. The signing of new defence contracts and the trading of Libya’s valuable oil reserves will provide further funds for military expenditure. This will see import figures rise substantially over the coming years, as Libya updates and replaces its ageing Soviet equipment.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis Libya Political SWOT Libya Security SWOT Libya Defence Industry SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview Domestic Political Outlook Reformist Qadhafi Junior Departs – For Now No Viable Domestic Opposition External Political Outlook Little External Pressure The Rapprochement Continues Normalisation At Last European Relations Also Improving China Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: Regional Risk Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East And North Africa Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts Libya Security Risk Ratings Libya Conflict Risk Libya Terrorism Risk Libya Physical Safety Risk Chapter 4 - Security Overview External Security Situation Internal Security Situation Table: Libya Insurgent Groups Succession Militant Opposition Popular Unrest Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 Current Strength Historical Strength Equipment International Deployments Weapons Of Mass Destruction Market Structure Arms Trade Overview Imports Exports Industry Trends & Developments Procurement Trends & Developments Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario Table: Libya Defence Sector – Army Enlargements Table: Libya Defence Sector – Government Expenditure Key Risks To It’s Forecast Scenario Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast Table: Libya: Macroeconomic Data And Forecasts Chapter 8 - It Forecast Modelling How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts Defence Industry Sources Chapter 9 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology Conflict Risk Methodology Terrorism Risk Methodology Physical Safety Risk Methodology Overall Risk Rating State Vulnerability Index   For more information, kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16497

 

 

Bharatbook.com is proud to announce the new report “Defence & Security Report UAE”

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for the UAE. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the UAE Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, UAE defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in the UAE. The UAE Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for the UAE through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in the UAE. UAE Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the UAE defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on the UAE to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the UAE defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the UAE Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in UAE Exploit The Latest Competitive UAE Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is arguably the most politically stable country in the Arab world. It is currently edging towards reforms, largely at the behest of the US’ limited agenda to introduce popular participation in the Gulf States, but these will be symbolic and will not cause any fundamental shifts in the power dynamics. The UAE has few explicit security threats. However, its inauspicious geo-strategic location dictates a permanent state of insecurity. Minor territorial disputes with Iran continue to put a low-level security pressure on the Emirates, while instability in nearby Iraq and political uncertainties in the wider region provide reason for caution. The security threats to the UAE in terms of insurgency and terrorism are thus far not significant. The UAE’s 10-year modernisation programme has created a military with the potential to challenge Iran and Saudi Arabia for regional dominance. The confluence of strategic imperative and immediate wealth contributed to the UAE’s establishment as a procurer, not a producer, of arms. The UAE lacks an established local defence industry and its forces are almost entirely reliant upon foreign procurement, training and expertise. The Offsets Group Programme mandates that foreign contractors establish joint ventures with local firms, providing the opportunities for technology transfers and the establishment of local maintenance and manufacturing facilities. A number of indigenous firms are however making limited progress in strengthening their position within the industry. Strong support for advanced military procurements and upgrades drive the industry for the medium term. Coming to the end of a 10-year US$15bn defence modernisation programme, the UAE is the most rapidly developing military power in the Gulf region. The UAE engages in a brisk arms trade with a variety of international suppliers. Regional security imperatives mean that the UAE is consistently looking to maintain its credible deterrent force by importing the latest technologies. To dilute the potential political effect of heavy reliance of foreign arms producers, the UAE consciously aims to diversify its suppliers among the four main global suppliers of arms: the US, France, the UK and Russia. The UAE does not export arms to any significant degree. It seems the Emirates have little to worry about for the time being – a stable political system, a strong economy, limited security threats, and a military with technology that can, in some aspects, rival the best in the world.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis United Arab Emirates Political SWOT United Arab Emirates Security SWOT United Arab Emirates Defence Industry SWOT United Arab Emirates Economic SWOT United Arab Emirates Business Environment SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview It Core Scenario Domestic Political Overview Elections, Labour Reforms…But No Real Change Times Are Good Labour Pains First Elections Ahead, But Little To Change Security Risks Regional Issues To Dominate Palestine Chapter 3 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: UAE Regional Risk Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East and North Africa Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts Security Risk Ratings UAE Conflict Risk UAE Terrorism Risk UAE Physical Safety Risk Chapter 4 - Security Risk Overview Internal Security Situation Historical Background Emirate Rivalry External Security Situation Regional Security Iran Global Engagement Insurgency and Terrorism Chapter 5 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 Current Strength Army Navy Air Force International Deployments Weapons Of Mass Destruction Market Structure Arms Trade Overview Imports Exports Industry Trends & Developments Procurement Trends & Developments Chapter 6 - Industry Forecast Scenario Table: UAE Defence Sector – Army Enlargements Immediate Opportunities Key Risks To It’s Forecast Scenario Chapter 7 - Macroeconomic Forecast Table: Economic Indicators Chapter 8 - Company Profiles Abu Dhabi Ship Building (ADSB) Chapter 9 - It Forecast Modelling How we generate our industry forecasts Defence Industry Sources Chapter 10 - Appendix A: Risk Ratings Methodology Conflict Risk Methodology Terrorism Risk Methodology Physical Safety Risk Methodology Overall Risk Rating State Vulnerability Index   For more information, kindly visit: http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=16498

 

Defence & Security Report Israel

Independent 5-year Defence and Security industry forecast for Israel. Original Defence and security market research and the defence & security sector trend analysis for the Israeli Defence and Security  industry. Competitive intelligence, Israeli defence & security company rankings and SWOT analyses on international and domestic defence & security companies in Israel. The Israel Defence & Security Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest-available data covering all headline indicators; 5-year industry forecasts for Israel through end-2012; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering national and multinational arms and components manufacturers, electronic and software producers, and companies providing defence solutions, as well as analysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory changes in Israel. Israeli Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Israeli defence & security industry. Key Benefits of Report Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Defence & Security Industry Forecast on Israel to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Israeli defence and security market. Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Israeli Defence & Security Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Israel Exploit The Latest Competitive Israeli Defence & Security Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your peers and competitors through company rankings by sales, market share, investments and leading products and services. Coverage SWOT Analysis Snapshot evaluation of the major issues affecting security, the defence sector, economy and politics, with issues subdivided into ‘strengths’ ‘weaknesses’ ‘opportunities’ and ‘threats’. Political Risk Assessment Drawing on It’s twenty-year heritage of Country Risk analysis, this comprehensively evaluates the key risks to domestic politics and foreign relations, focusing on issues most likely to affect either domestic security or the defence sector. Security Risk Analysis It’s proprietary Security Ratings provide a reliable – and country comparable – guide to conflict, terrorism and criminal risk, backed up by our analyst’s latest assessment of each component. Furthermore, drawing on our Country Risk expertise, we assess the state’s vulnerability to a serious – or prolonged – terrorist campaign. Defence Industry Assessment Overview of industry landscape and key players; public/private structure, size and value of industry sector; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments; indepth review of recent procurement trends and developments. It 5-Year Forecasts Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for key industry indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast. Defence expenditure (local currency and US$bn); defence expenditure (% of total budget); defence expenditure (% of GDP); defence expenditure per capita, US$; defence budget (local currency and US$bn); employment in arms production (‘000s); employment in arms production (% of labour force); arms imports (US$mn); arms imports (% of total imports); arms exports (US$mn); arms exports (% of total exports) It 5-year forecast and analysis of all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt. Company Profiles Company profiles, including senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects. Executive Summary Israel’s international relations are at an all-time low, except, of course, for a few key influential allies. The intensification of the conflict with Palestine and perhaps most significantly the devastating and arguably inappropriate invasion of Lebanon, have all undone months of diplomacy with the Arab World and the international community at large. Vast parts of the international community condemned Israel’s actions in Lebanon, actions which arguably failed to achieve Tel Aviv’s objectives. Given this failure, the government, and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, have been widely criticised by Israel’s parliament, media and population. The withdrawal from Lebanon has been seen as a climb-down by the right wing in Israel, having failed to either deal a decisive blow to Hezbollah or secure the release of the two captured Israeli soldiers. Although domestic and international relations are in trouble, It does not see a significant change to the level of threat to Israel’s security for the foreseeable future. Israel will continue to exist within a highly volatile region and be at risk of attacks from both internal and external parties. This is not new to Israel. It has existed under these conditions, and far worse, since its creation and has built up sophisticated and well-tuned mechanisms for combating such threats. Whilst not numerically great, its armed forces are well-trained, well-armed and highly experienced. Perhaps more importantly, Israel is supported by the world’s only superpower, the US, which donates enormous quantities of military aid and equipment to the Israeli Defence Force (IDF). Israel’s armed forces are also supported by one of the world’s most advanced defence industries, which benefits from large amounts of support from the government in the form of contracts. Israeli arms exports are currently flourishing, with lucrative relationships created with major weapons purchasers such as India and Turkey. In 2006, transfers totalled some US$4.5bn, ranking Israel in the top five exporters in the world. Arms imports are also likely to be sustained at a significant level by several long-running procurement programmes and an increase in foreign military financing (FMF) from the US. It’s newly-released Israel Defence & Security Report concludes that the Israeli defence industry is set to thrive regardless of the immediate political or security environment in which it operates.

Table of Contents Chapter 1 - Executive Summary SWOT Analysis Israel Political SWOT Israel Security SWOT Israel Defence Industry SWOT Israel Economic SWOT Israel Business Environment SWOT Chapter 2 - Political Overview Domestic Political Outlook High Political Turmoil, Low Market Impact Recriminations Over Military Strategy The Blame Game Will Olmert Survive? A New Leader? A New Palestinian Government A Way Out? Another Scenario: Withdrawals On Hold, And The PA Dissolved Diplomatic Losses A Shared Interest An EU Role Unilateralism Is Dead Anti-Western Sentiment Rises Chapter 3 - External Political Outlook Hizbollah Claims Victory Chapter 4 - Security Risk Analysis It’s Security Ratings Risk Ratings Table: Yemen Regional Security Ratings Table: State Terrorism Vulnerability Index Regional Security: The Middle East and North Africa Inter-State Conflicts Internal Conflicts Israel Security Risk Ratings Israel Conflict Risk Israel Terrorism Risk Israel Physical Safety Risk Chapter 5 - Security Risk Overview Internal Security Situation Palestine The Cycle Continues Hamas Breaks Truce Chapter 6 - External Security Situation Return To Lebanon Hizbollah Claims Victory: Security Implications Hizbollah Is Still Strong Return To Deterrence For Now But Still A Long-Term Threat Anti-Israel Hawks Emboldened Elsewhere Golan Heights Iran Iraq Libya Chapter 7 - Military Structure & Defence Industry Armed Forces Table: Regional Armed Forces (including conscripted) 2006 Current Strength Historical Strength International Deployments Weapons of Mass Destruction Table: Israeli Nuclear-Capable Delivery Vehicles Chapter 8 - Market Overview Arms Trade Overview Imports